Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.001888 0.002005 0.002125 0.002259 0.002404 0.002556 0.002729
2025-04-20 0.001661 0.001817 0.001985 0.002180 0.002401 0.002644 0.002933
2025-04-27 0.001559 0.001747 0.001955 0.002205 0.002498 0.002832 0.003245
2025-05-04 0.001497 0.001711 0.001954 0.002254 0.002617 0.003045 0.003593
2025-05-11 0.001459 0.001696 0.001973 0.002322 0.002756 0.003283 0.003983
2025-05-18 0.001404 0.001656 0.001955 0.002342 0.002834 0.003448 0.004286
2025-05-25 0.001325 0.001581 0.001891 0.002297 0.002825 0.003497 0.004439
2025-06-01 0.001265 0.001526 0.001847 0.002274 0.002839 0.003575 0.004632
2025-06-08 0.001229 0.001499 0.001835 0.002290 0.002904 0.003721 0.004922
2025-06-15 0.001180 0.001452 0.001796 0.002268 0.002914 0.003791 0.005109
2025-06-22 0.001138 0.001413 0.001763 0.002252 0.002931 0.003869 0.005309
2025-06-29 0.001098 0.001374 0.001730 0.002232 0.002941 0.003936 0.005496
2025-07-06 0.001048 0.001323 0.001682 0.002195 0.002932 0.003985 0.005676
2025-07-13 0.000985 0.001253 0.001605 0.002115 0.002857 0.003935 0.005699
2025-07-20 0.000963 0.001237 0.001602 0.002138 0.002931 0.004110 0.006090
2025-07-27 0.000952 0.001234 0.001615 0.002185 0.003044 0.004350 0.006607
2025-08-03 0.000947 0.001240 0.001641 0.002249 0.003186 0.004644 0.007242
2025-08-10 0.000928 0.001225 0.001636 0.002269 0.003259 0.004831 0.007707
2025-08-17 0.000891 0.001183 0.001591 0.002226 0.003231 0.004851 0.007873
2025-08-24 0.000862 0.001153 0.001561 0.002203 0.003234 0.004922 0.008139
2025-08-31 0.000847 0.001140 0.001556 0.002219 0.003299 0.005102 0.008623
2025-09-07 0.000821 0.001112 0.001529 0.002197 0.003301 0.005171 0.008900
2025-09-14 0.000799 0.001088 0.001505 0.002182 0.003312 0.005257 0.009216